The Zacks Earnings ESP compares the Most Accurate Estimate to the Zacks Consensus Estimate for the quarter the Most Accurate Estimate is a more recent version of the Zacks Consensus EPS estimate. This insight is at the core of our proprietary surprise prediction model - the Zacks Earnings ESP (Expected Surprise Prediction). Investors should keep in mind that an aggregate change may not always reflect the direction of estimate revisions by each of the covering analysts.Įstimate revisions ahead of a company's earnings release offer clues to the business conditions for the period whose results are coming out. This is essentially a reflection of how the covering analysts have collectively reassessed their initial estimates over this period. The consensus EPS estimate for the quarter has been revised 0.11% lower over the last 30 days to the current level. Revenues are expected to be $7.39 billion, up 8% from the year-ago quarter. This technology platform and digital payments company is expected to post quarterly earnings of $1.22 per share in its upcoming report, which represents a year-over-year change of +13%. While management's discussion of business conditions on the earnings call will mostly determine the sustainability of the immediate price change and future earnings expectations, it's worth having a handicapping insight into the odds of a positive EPS surprise. On the other hand, if they miss, the stock may move lower. The stock might move higher if these key numbers top expectations in the upcoming earnings report, which is expected to be released on November 1. This widely-known consensus outlook is important in assessing the company's earnings picture, but a powerful factor that might influence its near-term stock price is how the actual results compare to these estimates. The market expects Paypal (PYPL) to deliver a year-over-year increase in earnings on higher revenues when it reports results for the quarter ended September 2023.
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